Strategies in Managing Forex Trading Volatility

June 15th, 2009

It has always been a part of the forex industry to bear in mind that the forex market is truly volatile. Forex trading volatility is in the market’s nature and this is usually magnified when a participating trader uses leverage. This is a delicate situation and if not taken care of properly, a trader can never survive the business.

First things first, in forex, there is a need to exercise trading psychology, which is all about controlling one’s emotions. We cannot deny that it is a fact that the mood of the trader has a profound effect on how he or she does the trading. For instance, in dealing with your losses, you have to admit that there is something wrong about your forex strategy. There are actually some traders who hold on to their bad trade strategy for an extra day just to test it again only to find out that they have failed once again. That practice alone will cost you a lot of money. This is also true when it comes to your gains. There are some traders who make winning trades and they think that they cannot make a mistake with their strategy. What you have to do here is to keep an objective view of things even if you are already profiting from the business.

Another strategy is to use forex systems, which will help you create a risk management program. Properly implementing this will truly help your trading account. As you observe your system, you will know that it is always effective to trade smaller when the trade swings are wild. Calculate the risks before you make a trade and with the help of your system, you will be able to perform a better risk management program. A good example of this is a day trader who believes that he or she will be able to place stops by means of support and resistance. In doing so, they will be able to keep the risks low but in reality, market volatility is random in short periods of time. This means that they have to say farewell to their equity. In forex, you have to be a great gambler, which denotes that you will only trade big amounts when the odds are in your favor and do not bet when they are not.

When it comes to trailing a stop, you have to be patient at all times. Keep it back as far as you can and do not be affected by the market noise. This will be really hard for you especially when you see several equities getting wiped out in just a single day. What you have to do here is to let the automated forex trading systems focus on the bigger reward, which is to deal with losses for a shorter term so that you will be able to make meaningful gains for a longer term.

Let us face it: market volatility is not as frightful as it seems. There are thousands of traders in the world who have become successful in their own strategy in coping up with it and there are a million more who are hoping that they can do the same thing. Dealing with volatility and risk are both important because if you cannot do so, you will lose money: plain and simple.

Help for Traders

June 9th, 2009

Compared to the traditional stock market, the forex market holds a lot of advantages over it. To name a few, you can trade for longer hours and gain bigger profits. Now, these are reasons why there are a lot of people jumping into the scene of forex after watching a guy on TV who claims that he has earned a lot when he entered this business. Because of this, beginners lose great money from what they have invested and so it is only right that you have armed yourself with the best forex systems that are available today.

Competition is ongoing with the market and so these systems are just appropriate when you want to make more money and eventually cut the losses everyone fears about. For those who are not familiar with these forex systems, they are programs designed to automatically place trades in the trading scene on your behalf. While people get tired, they diligently watch the market for you 24 hours a day and seven times a week if you want them to. Originally, these systems were developed just to watch out for the latest in the forex world when you are resting. However, the designers improved the programming when they realized the needs of the traders for the expansion of technology.

Metatrader Expert Advisor FXPredictor GBPUSD, EURCAD

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Since the forex market is open for long hours, you can trade and make profits no matter what time it is. Still, you have to take part in the action because it is required that you know the standings and placements of the currencies against one another. This is why it is so important that you have chosen the best among the limitless choices of forex systems. Now, you have an automated money maker in your hands even if you are sleeping. Forex systems also act like a safety net for you so that when you fall, you will bounce back into a greater part of the forex trading scene.

There are actually 30% of traders who utilize these forex systems because they help a lot when these people need some time for their family and themselves. A website like http://iticsoftware.com gives information about these systems. Most experts believe that this will become the norm in the near future. These systems will also help save the traders from the high costs of those broker companies. You can get a great program for 100 dollars or below and this will prove useful for you. Try one of these and you will see the difference in your trading.

Flat channel and “breakout” strategies

January 13th, 2009

Arbitral operations in the international currency market open considerable possibilities for receiving of high profit; however, in turn, they are quite risky. Margin trading is the riskiest one.

Leverage, which allows to increase working actives of the investor in ten times, is quite dangerous, because you can lose a considerable part of your capital. Therefore, rather serious demands, concerning macroeconomic, highly specialized and psychological training, are made to qualification of market participants for successful trade in FOREX market. It is realized in creation of tactical plans of carrying out of operations. Planning is made by each market participant individually on the basis of tried-and-true trading strategies. Trading strategy is a set of actions undertaken by the trader for receiving of maximum profit for the certain period of time or minimization of possible losses. In general, trading strategy can be described as a combination of tactical methods applied depending on situation in the market. Basic trading strategies have been developed and applied in the share market for the first time, before creation of the FOREX market. During formation and development of FOREX they have continued to develop, too. In addition to use in share and currency market trading strategies are also used in the commodity markets, markets of precious metals and so forth.

For description of trading strategies we will use the following average data deduced by experts, which are valid for basic currency pairs - USD/DEM, USD/JPY, USD/CHF, GBP/USD:
- up to 50 basis points - short-term flat;
- 50-150 basis points - short-term trend;
- 200-500 basis points - medium-term trend;
- 500-1200 basis points - long-term trend;

Flat channel strategy

Flat channel strategy is a trade upwards and downwards from resistance and support levels: their lines are borders of channel. This tactics works well in flats and is almost absolutely not suitable for ascending or descending trends. Schematically flat channel strategy can be represented as follows: (pic. 1.1):

metatrader channel forex strategies

The rule of opening a position can be formulated as follows:

Define support and resistance levels. Correct calculation will help to receive channel borders, where the market movement occurs.

When the price reaches one of borders and the price line rebounds in opposite direction, it is necessary to open position on buy, if rebound was from the support level, and, on the contrary, on sale, if the prices have reached the resistance level.

When the price reaches the opposite border, the position will be closed. It is necessary to note that the price can be reversed before the price line achieves borders of the channel, so positions can be closed before achievement of support or resistance levels.

Advantage of such strategy is a possibility to maximize profit by opening and closing positions several times in case of continuation of flat. The basic shortcoming is that the breakout of lines of the channel can lead to considerable and unjustified losses.

In order to prevent these losses competent arrangement of stop-loss protective levels is needed, when unprofitable positions would be closed in case if the market movement went in opposite direction from the planned one (pic. 1.2).

metatrader forex strategies img.2

If there is a confidence in continuation of the market movement, the position can be “turned over” at the stop-loss level.

Metatrader Expert and Metatrader Indicator

Users opinion about iticsoftware.com Metatrader Experts and mql4 coding service.

September 30th, 2008

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Risk Warning

Before deciding to participate in the Forex market, you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. Most importantly, do not invest money you cannot afford to lose.

There is considerable exposure to risk in any off-exchange foreign exchange transaction, including, but not limited to, leverage, creditworthiness, limited regulatory protection and market volatility that may substantially affect the price, or liquidity of a currency or currency pair.

Forex Scalping Trading System

July 19th, 2008


Scalping Forex Trading System - Metatrader 4 Expert Advisor “STOMPER EURGBP”

Currency: EURGBP
Timeframe: M15
Risk:Medium

REAL Alpari Account Trading perfomance:

Click to view: Back Test (Strategy Tester Report)

forex trading system img1

Click to view: Back test with Money Management (20% deposit)

forex trading system img2

Click to View: Strategy Tester Report since 1999

And we have made video: metatrader expert advisor Stomper Strategy tester report since 1999 year

forex trading system video


Forex Trading System -Metatrader 4 Expert Advisor “STOMPER EURGBP” Working mechanism:
- Determination of the channel limits within 15 minutes time frame (m15)

- Orders (opposite to the trend direction) opening occurs after the reaching the channel border with TP = 30 and SL = 30

- Totally automated system - no human involvement needed - In case of the internet connection or power breakage the programmed take profit starts from one pip or more.

- Optimal chose of VPS (Virtual Private Server, Dedicated server)

- Consists of the several modules which several modules which makes the work more efficient

- Automated adjustment for different ( total 5), option of manual adjustment if the function is turned off

The advisor is being tested on a REAL Alpari account - which means it works on the filtered quotes.

We recommend to choose the broker with 2 pips spread on EURGBP.

Read more about Metatrader Expert Advisor Stomper…

BJF Trading Group

http://iticsoftware.com

FOREX Systems based on Divergence

July 14th, 2008

We must be aware about the trade in which we can earn a huge profit but it is made complete only when we have know the trends of the business because trends plays an important / major role is assessing inclination power. Any tendency is poised of a series of price swings. We must be aware the up and downs in the trend of business when these trends are going up and down. It is not necessary that a less impetus will always result in reversal but we can be aware of the fact there is something in the market which is getting changed and that trend may consolidate or reverse.

Direction and magnitude of the price is determined by price momentum. It is very much necessary for a trader to gain insight into the price momentum. A trader can gain insight into the price momentum by comparing price swings. We will let you know how to evaluate the price momentum. Any deviation can let you know that in which direction trend is going on.

Defining price Momentum

With the help of short term price swings we can calculate the magnitude of the price momentum. Structural price pivots defines the beginning and end point of each swing. With the help of these beginning and end point we can know the swing high as well as swing low respectively. Momentum can strong or weak both. With the help of vertical slope and extended price swing we can see the strong momentum while to know about the weak momentum we will require the superficial slope.

If the upswing is in uptrend then we can know easily that a long upswing is showing the increased momentum. Or in other words we can say that it is getting stronger while if the swing is shorter then it can be assume that trend is going to be weak but if length of swing does not change it means momentum will remain same and will not change.

By normal eyes we can not evaluate the price swings it can be choppy. With the help of momentum indicator you can get a clear picture of price action. A trader can also compare the indicator swings to price swings with their help and he will not have to compare price to price.

Momentum indicator

The price movement momentum indicators include the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic and rate of change (ROC).

Momentum Divergence

If there is some discrepancy between the indicator and price we call it divergence. For a trade management system this divergence can have important implications. The amount of agreement and disagreement is relative. There for pattern are not same. These patterns are developed in the relationship between indicator and price.

If you want to make the analysis of momentum valid then you have to keep i mind that strength of price swing must be sufficient. So we can say that in active trends momentum is useful very much but in every condition when there is condition of price swings are limited and are of variable length then this does not work properly.

divergence forex systems

pic. 1 RSI Divergence signal example

pic.2 Price and RSI indicator agree

When price makes a higher high but this higher high does not made by indicator then only this divergence come in uptrend. And in case of down trend it happens opposite to the up trend. A probability of price retracement increases very much if divergence is spotted.

Momentum Divergence Indicator -shows fractal divergence by Momentum MetaTrader 4 indicator .

metatrader indicator momentum divergence

The trader can distinguish and respond appropriately if there is any change in price action with the help of divergence. When there is some changes it inform us and indicate the trader to take some action for his trade, such as tighten the stop loss or take profit.

Managing Divergence

For trade management divergence is very much necessary. Some of the fine strategies were selling call option or taking profit. The trend was first pullback and then continued which was leaded by the divergence between the price and the indicator. Price makes below the lower trend line if you look at the pivot, often it also offered as a bear trap.

It is not necessary that trend will reverse when divergence indicate that something is changing. It is just to inform the trader that he must consider strategy option: holding selling a covered call, tightening the stop, or taking partial profits.

Profit is not too much important as ego for the glamour of wanting to pick up the top as well as bottom. We must first select the right strategy for what price is doing if we want to earn a profit continuously.

Disagreement or divergence can be considered when price and the indicator are not regular relative to each other. Our actins are only controlled regardless of what price will do.

It does not mean that a divergence can not reverse the trend. A divergence sometimes also leads to the trend reversal. If we would be able to understand the momentum easily then we can earn a huge payment by trend momentum.

Conclusion

We must be aware of all the available strategies to use a momentum indicator in a useful way. Way can be leaded by price but if you want to preserve the profits then this can be indicate by the momentum. If you are a professional trader then you must have the knowledge of correct strategies for price action.

Our Metatrader Divergence Indicators

STO - Div Metatrader Indicator shows fractal divergence by Stochastic indicator .

RSI-Div Metatrader Indicator shows fractal divergence by RSI indicator.

PowerRVI-Div Metatrader Indicator shows fractal divergence by PowerRVI indicator.

Metatrader Indicator STLM-Div indicates fractal divergence by STLM Low Frequency Digital Filter.

Metatrader Indicator MACD-Div indicates fractal divergence by MACD indicator.

BJF Trading Group

www.iticsoftware.com

New Forex Metatrader Expert Advisor HedgeOptima

June 23rd, 2008

New Forex Metatrader Expert Advisor HedgeOptima

Currency: multicurrencies ( “EURUSD”, “EURJPY”, “USDJPY”, “AUDUSD”, “NZDUSD”)

Timeframe: H1
Using Indicators: NO
Trading Time: Round-the-clock
Risk: Medium
Minimum Deposit: $2000
Recommended Deposit: $3000
Orders Type: BUY and SELL market orders
Metatrader expert advisor Concept: MultiTrading and Hedging transactions on correlate currencies
Money Management: Stop Loss and Take Profit
Metatrader expert advisor Customization: possible upon the request

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Welcome to metatrader expert advisors page

Forex Robots Back Tests and Forward Tests VIDEO

June 16th, 2008

Forex Robot Forexy GBPUSD

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Forex Robots Forexy GBPUSD Home Page

Forex Robot - Martingale Theory

June 16th, 2008

This article about 100% profitable forex trading strategy. This strategy is based on Martingale theory. The martingale theory was introduced by French mathematicians Paul Pierre Levy and American mathematician Joseph Leo Doob. The principle of the system can be summarized as follows. Each time a bid loses, the next rate doubles. We doubled the rate until not win. Winnings will offset all previous losses.

The probability of winning with equal 50%. We have developed forex robot based on this theory. However, the use martengale theory in pure form for the forex market requires a greater initial deposit. To reduce the likelihood of losing, we enter the rules for opening position , which greatly improved the forex robot.

Martingeyla theory has become very popular in the forex market because the value of the currency can never be equal to zero. Such a situation is possible in the stocks market when the company becomes bankrupt.

Forex Expert Advisor MARTINGALE THEORY - Martingale is used in the modified form (know-how :-) ). Let’s make an attempt to test the system on the different areas of quotations (currency of EUR). The initial lot is = 0, 1. I would like to stress that when you use initial lot = 0.01 on different pair and timeframes you reduce the risk by several times.

Expert Advisor MARTINGALE THEORY Strategy Test 2007 year

Initial deposit: 10000.00
Total net profit: 8550.35

Expert Advisor MARTINGALE THEORY Strategy Test 2006 year

Initial deposit: 10000.00
Total net profit: 9495.40

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More Information About MetaTrader Expert Advisor MARTINGALE THEORY

BJF Trading Group
http://iticsoftware.com

How correctly choose the Metatrader Expert Advisor?

May 30th, 2008

To make a correct choice of the metatrader expert adviser to you it is necessary to compare metatrader expert advisors strategy tester reports.

 

Metatrader Expert Advisors BackTest or strategy tester report is the test of metatrader expert advisor on historical data. All tests of Metatrader Expert Advisor will be made from metatrader 4 built-in strategy tester with the methods of historical data modeling: Every tick method. It uses all available nearest timeframes, but not only data of the nearest less timeframe. This method the most exact.

 

VIDEO: How to make metatrader expert advisors back test?

Metatrader Expert Advisor Forexy GBPUSD Back test Video

Metatrader Expert Advisor Upstream EURJPY Back test Video

 

Main parameters for metatrader expert advisors description :

Total net profit —financial result of all trades. This parameter represents the difference between “Gross profit” and “Gross loss”;

Gross profit — the sum of all profitable trades in monetary units;

Gross loss — the sum of all unprofitable trades in monetary units;

Profit factor — the ratio between the gross profit and the gross loss in per cents. One means that these sums are equal;

Expected payoff — mathematical expectation of win. This parameter to be calculated statistically represents average profit/loss factor of one trade. It can also be considered as showing the expected profitability/unprofitability of the next trade;

Absolute drawdown — the largest loss is below initial deposit value;

Maximal drawdown — the largest loss of the local maximum in the deposit currency and in per cents of the deposit.

 

For an example we shall consider some metatrader expert advisor back tests (strategy tester reports):

 

Metatrader Expert Advisor Forexy GBPUSD Back Test

 

Metatrader Expert Advisor Upstream EURJPY Back Test

 

Metatrader Expert Advisor Chinchilla EURCAD Back Test

 

Metatrader Expert Advisor Trafalgar GBPJPY Back Test

 

Metatrader Expert Advisor Trafalgar AUDJPY Back Test

 

 

Let’s compare results.

 

Metatrader expert:

Total net profit

Profit factor

Expected payoff

Maximal drawdown

Forexy GBPUSD

15339.21

1.79

29.84

24.40%

Upstream EURJPY

4735.77

1.36

6.79

45.01%

Chinchilla EURCAD

9543.44

5.59

32.80

5.91%

Trafalgar GBPJPY

89412.16

1.51

229.26

16.31%

Trafalgar AUDJPY

49336.12

1.74

231.62

14.22%

 

 

 

 

Next step: Forward Test.

After metatrader expert advisor(s) purchase or metatrader expert advisor coding, you need making metatrader expert advisor forward test.

Forward test – real (or demo) account real time testing.

 

Metatrader expert advisor Upstream EURJPY forward test

 

Metatrader expert advisor Forexy GBPUSD forward test

 

Metatrader expert advisor Chinchilla EURCAD forward test

 

As the leader by right can be considered metatrader expert advisor Forexy GBPUSD and Chinchilla EURCAD

BJF Trading Group,

http://iticsoftware.com